Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 5.734454 6.679962 7.688108 8.838329 10.109513 11.466754 13.020674
2025-10-26 4.172444 5.414480 6.839180 8.574808 10.612231 12.908629 15.672499
2025-11-02 3.042331 4.396256 6.063043 8.220019 10.890315 14.041356 17.992141
2025-11-09 2.261261 3.638608 5.454664 7.940138 11.166314 15.126676 20.264874
2025-11-16 1.731853 3.098005 5.021404 7.792183 11.542208 16.304083 22.661273
2025-11-23 1.344751 2.674723 4.670512 7.686430 11.925333 17.470724 25.058496
2025-11-30 1.155992 2.514411 4.662396 8.033527 12.911431 19.437529 28.531488
2025-12-07 0.933686 2.248140 4.450453 8.049678 13.417976 20.766974 31.197650
2025-12-14 0.690222 1.882709 4.022930 7.686604 13.338723 21.272567 32.758000
2025-12-21 0.512930 1.594008 3.673571 7.396835 13.326448 21.844366 34.398546
2025-12-28 0.455604 1.544227 3.734068 7.766216 14.313644 23.850575 38.057206
2026-01-04 0.421869 1.540056 3.875002 8.273876 15.529200 26.214646 42.266597
2026-01-11 0.379060 1.506967 3.963099 8.708102 16.667759 28.530193 46.510487
2026-01-18 0.309446 1.383154 3.855823 8.791428 17.251549 30.049763 49.667062
2026-01-25 0.232592 1.208192 3.615413 8.611384 17.393777 30.910306 51.895122
2026-02-01 0.171300 1.050164 3.382023 8.416896 17.492002 31.696096 54.022593
2026-02-08 0.128114 0.928931 3.207781 8.312675 17.726028 32.683756 56.454451
2026-02-15 0.095071 0.824555 3.053028 8.228302 17.982342 33.704684 58.949321
2026-02-22 0.084365 0.812411 3.126585 8.607578 19.059780 36.036077 63.442893
2026-03-01 0.064503 0.740817 3.032873 8.632326 19.507039 37.377755 66.470094
2026-03-08 0.040038 0.614386 2.761874 8.254101 19.206122 37.507880 67.656078
2026-03-15 0.024290 0.514358 2.538513 7.950832 19.017176 37.801551 69.084793
2026-03-22 0.021547 0.514360 2.621527 8.341236 20.133990 40.254935 73.884320